TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Shelton, Fritz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Shelton40c18,955$7,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,382.454436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Fritz53c11,806$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,201.2817833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Shelton38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.99825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Fritz62c9,478$5,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,876.445545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Fritz34c9,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0208831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Shelton77c7,275$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.253669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Fritz56c6,188$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Fritz61c6,113$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.679935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Shelton49c6,064$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.7728443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Shelton38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Fritz63c4,047$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.048453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Fritz60c3,767$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.481844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Fritz45c3,496$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.062630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa421…8c83backed Fritz61c3,278$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Shelton45c3,200$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.2710138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Fritz63c3,088$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Shelton48c3,015$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.722045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Shelton41c2,310$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.841,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Shelton38c1,912$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.828231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Fritz58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0412231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Fritz60c1,508$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Shelton67c1,466$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9632141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Shelton38c1,270$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.1714540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Fritz55c1,229$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…96bbbacked Fritz63c1,041$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Fritz63c1,017$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Shelton37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Shelton40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c9…535fbacked Shelton55c1,000$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Fritz33c950.32$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.689130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz60c818.15$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0711652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Shelton39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Shelton37c719.07$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Fritz62c664$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.18520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Fritz62c600$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37418338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fritz63c555.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Shelton38c529.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.186254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Shelton69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Shelton40c350$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.554035%14 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Fritz62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz31c313.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Fritz32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.162952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Fritz39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11617349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Shelton44c284.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0936047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Shelton38c277.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.32748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Fritz62c264.52$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1649149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Fritz49c261.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.715961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Shelton61c256.15$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.97028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Shelton40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Fritz63c214.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.444751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton44c211$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.11,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Fritz58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11622840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Fritz62c176.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Fritz62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Fritz63c157.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c0…a00ebacked Fritz54c154.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Shelton39c140$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Shelton40c136.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.173441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd7…0e39backed Fritz63c124.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Fritz58c119$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.498943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Fritz61c116.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2229553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Fritz55c101.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.223234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Shelton40c100.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7712852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Shelton38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Fritz59c95.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.854151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Fritz61c95.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0713356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Shelton39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6237233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…aff4backed Fritz62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Fritz63c55.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6632161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Shelton43c54.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0211457.9%66 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Fritz61c51.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.344843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fb…2b2abacked Shelton43c50.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.834475%33 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Shelton40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Shelton40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Fritz62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Shelton37c46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Shelton40c35.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.279154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Shelton39c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.355141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Shelton35c30.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7d…7e36backed Fritz60c24.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Fritz61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.235559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Fritz60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Fritz64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126154.1%33 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe688…fc52backed Fritz62c18.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.