Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Kartal vs. Pavlyuchenkova (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc292fe8f7697d22efc64826c6ecef6b7877160268b097c1515e48a7d4f73a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlyuchenkovaof Kartal , Pavlyuchenkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kartal | 34c | 12,016$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.87 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pavlyuchenkova | 61c | 5,509$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.69 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Kartal | 45c | 2,606$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Pavlyuchenkova | 51c | 2,431$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.37 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kartal | 36c | 1,988$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.96 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kartal | 54c | 1,734$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.22 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Pavlyuchenkova | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Kartal | 37c | 1,203$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.38 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Kartal | 62c | 1,137$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.52 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kartal | 47c | 1,119$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.9 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Kartal | 52c | 892.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 46c | 772.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.24 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 36c | 700$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Kartal | 54c | 679.63$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kartal | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Pavlyuchenkova | 66c | 487.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Pavlyuchenkova | 52c | 449.93$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…bc5abacked Kartal | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Pavlyuchenkova | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Pavlyuchenkova | 49c | 308.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed Pavlyuchenkova | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 286.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 46c | 278$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 260.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Pavlyuchenkova | 55c | 241.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Kartal | 23c | 235.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 234.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Pavlyuchenkova | 38c | 234.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kartal | 11c | 230.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Pavlyuchenkova | 70c | 230.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 49c | 179.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Kartal | 59c | 153.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Kartal | 73c | 140.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 136.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 119.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Pavlyuchenkova | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed Kartal | 52c | 102.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Pavlyuchenkova | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8099…2f05backed Pavlyuchenkova | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Kartal | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Kartal | 42c | 79.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kartal | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Kartal | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Pavlyuchenkova | 43c | 71.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pavlyuchenkova | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Pavlyuchenkova | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Pavlyuchenkova | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Kartal | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Pavlyuchenkova | 48c | 50.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Kartal | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kartal | 59c | 30.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Pavlyuchenkova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Pavlyuchenkova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Kartal | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Pavlyuchenkova | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.