TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Tiafoe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrie of Norrie , Tiafoe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb50f…1046backed Tiafoe 43c23,199$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Norrie 49c19,834$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,178.428043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Norrie 56c13,784$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.9239144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Tiafoe 65c7,178$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,659.574744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tiafoe 77c5,490$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.5wins-0.41per pick68cpaid-61.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Norrie 37c4,884$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.6112231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Norrie 40c4,427$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.288650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Norrie 37c4,375$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.4832141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Norrie 47c4,000$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.641,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tiafoe 63c3,772$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3642263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed Norrie 38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8603253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tiafoe 60c2,255$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.491,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Tiafoe 33c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.822737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie 63c1,537$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.51,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Norrie 78c1,285$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.399348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Norrie 40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tiafoe 55c1,131$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.837943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Tiafoe 55c1,107$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Norrie 38c1,100$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.287335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Norrie 39c1,034$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.3196035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Norrie 63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37011652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Norrie 38c999.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.9915452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Tiafoe 61c892.23$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9113253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Tiafoe 63c886.52$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Norrie 67c880.1$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.436835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Tiafoe 63c876.84$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.412454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Tiafoe 36c839.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7d…4eebbacked Norrie 64c681.39$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.743030%9 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Tiafoe 64c671.62$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.879742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Tiafoe 54c572.6$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Tiafoe 63c569.73$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.936139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Norrie 37c499.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9731650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Tiafoe 62c485$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.71315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Norrie 53c482$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.48943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tiafoe 8c477.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.661,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Norrie 38c468.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Norrie 40c466$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.62245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697b…0d4ebacked Tiafoe 44c432.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.351625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Norrie 35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Tiafoe 62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tiafoe 61c399.02$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.822,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Norrie 57c385.55$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.552050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Norrie 27c375$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2710729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Norrie 27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3711060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Tiafoe 63c314.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Norrie 37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+234.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe581…b0f5backed Tiafoe 41c274.56$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-84.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe23…3038backed Tiafoe 79c253$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Tiafoe 45c244.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Norrie 37c220$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.825330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tiafoe 69c215$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2562952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Tiafoe 61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Norrie 38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Norrie 52c197.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.154450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Norrie 51c194.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3710651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Norrie 26c190$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.63345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Tiafoe 55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Norrie 39c181.21$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.842133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Tiafoe 76c168.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Tiafoe 61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Norrie 35c163.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4924529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tiafoe 63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tiafoe 50c151.77$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1914949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Tiafoe 63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Tiafoe 80c124.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.091833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd570…932ebacked Tiafoe 30c100.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tiafoe 38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Norrie 36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6420431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Norrie 36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6417349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8099…2f05backed Tiafoe 24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Tiafoe 36c97.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.575617.9%10 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Tiafoe 63c92.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.481450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Tiafoe 39c81.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Tiafoe 63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Tiafoe 48c72.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6525134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Tiafoe 66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.135559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Norrie 60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6713044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d52…2f63backed Norrie 37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Norrie 38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636560%39 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Norrie 38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846d…3f44backed Norrie 67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked Norrie 47c37.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.151963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Norrie 56c35.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.748351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Tiafoe 45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568b…983abacked Tiafoe 63c34.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Norrie 37c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.794599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Norrie 39c32.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tiafoe 54c32.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.382,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Tiafoe 64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0a…576dbacked Tiafoe 50c29.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Norrie 41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2712927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed Norrie 71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.175166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7e…0debbacked Tiafoe 69c19.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393d…7084backed Tiafoe 63c18.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.