Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e55fb394ae2205d131748487548eab1d7381e0e5d105c167ddc2a2d19a76c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Rublev, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Rublev | 76c | 32,887$24,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Harris | 24c | 20,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Harris | 24c | 13,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Harris | 6c | 4,395$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Rublev | 76c | 2,618$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Rublev | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Harris | 22c | 2,271$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Harris | 27c | 1,940$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rublev | 73c | 1,777$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Harris | 25c | 1,736$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Harris | 23c | 975.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Harris | 24c | 953.44$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Harris | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rublev | 75c | 800$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Harris | 19c | 712.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…7926backed Rublev | 68c | 682.58$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Rublev | 76c | 658.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Harris | 27c | 550$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Harris | 22c | 519.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Rublev | 80c | 500.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rublev | 75c | 500$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Rublev | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Harris | 25c | 499.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Harris | 16c | 485.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harris | 19c | 470$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rublev | 77c | 469.83$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Harris | 18c | 433.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Harris | 27c | 400.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Harris | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rublev | 56c | 355.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Harris | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Harris | 24c | 339.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Harris | 23c | 312.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Harris | 26c | 306.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Harris | 27c | 237.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Harris | 36c | 227.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Harris | 18c | 221.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Harris | 23c | 214$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Rublev | 75c | 205.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Harris | 27c | 204.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Harris | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Harris | 27c | 183.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Harris | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Rublev | 75c | 160.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 167 | 61.1%102 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Harris | 24c | 136.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rublev | 75c | 133.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Rublev | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Rublev | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Rublev | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Rublev | 77c | 98.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Harris | 24c | 92.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Harris | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…5ca7backed Rublev | 65c | 76.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Harris | 27c | 75.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Rublev | 75c | 75.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Harris | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Harris | 22c | 60.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Harris | 25c | 59.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…9b0bbacked Harris | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Rublev | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Harris | 27c | 38.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0a…576dbacked Rublev | 58c | 20.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Rublev | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.