Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Muller vs. Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a37296550b7a7039a878f278d862920a1a3aadbbecd3097d6bc3f755079d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovic of Muller , Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Muller | 6c | 23,246$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.21 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Muller | 17c | 9,726$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Muller | 12c | 9,525$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Muller | 7c | 4,045$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Muller | 2c | 2,844$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Muller | 13c | 2,573$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.45 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Muller | 6c | 2,246$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Muller | 18c | 1,650$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Muller | 4c | 1,637$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Muller | 3c | 1,388$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Muller | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Muller | 14c | 1,266$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Muller | 8c | 1,222$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Muller | 6c | 1,205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Muller | 16c | 1,144$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Muller | 9c | 1,116$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Muller | 5c | 1,063$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Muller | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Muller | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Muller | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Muller | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Muller | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Muller | 18c | 279.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…94e5backed Muller | 6c | 269$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Muller | 9c | 233.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Muller | 9c | 210.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Muller | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Muller | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Muller | 12c | 127.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.