Us Politics · resolved market
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fb63be81a7794cdece9e7716bf60d36b189523d6417694369bb5c6710944a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96ec…2e60backed Yes | 22c | 11,386$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 13c | 10,983$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.05 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 22c | 7,807$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 75c | 6,455$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…322dbacked No | 76c | 4,936$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,853$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…d0a8backed Yes | 24c | 4,591$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 12c | 4,469$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.1 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 78c | 4,096$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.73 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 2,826$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 19c | 2,606$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.98 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 26c | 2,602$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,566$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 75c | 2,563$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 2,430$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…f5efbacked No | 76c | 2,326$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 29c | 2,196$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.72 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 76c | 2,088$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 24c | 2,088$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…d58bbacked No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,889$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,851$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 71c | 1,849$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Yes | 25c | 1,588$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 1,547$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 70c | 1,421$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,410$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 22c | 1,331$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.41 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 27c | 1,176$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.65 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 14c | 1,103$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…2dcdbacked No | 75c | 1,082$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 23c | 1,058$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…e930backed Yes | 24c | 1,038$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 5c | 981.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes | 31c | 942.14$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…cf9ebacked Yes | 23c | 941.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0d29backed Yes | 24c | 903.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…e302backed Yes | 2c | 803.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 78c | 800$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…866fbacked Yes | 16c | 793.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 2c | 779.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 70c | 725.92$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…ba7bbacked Yes | 3c | 725.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…7f3cbacked No | 71c | 680$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 657.43$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…15bcbacked Yes | 38c | 656.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…d2f0backed Yes | 29c | 650$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…c7bebacked No | 74c | 647.92$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 76c | 642.4$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…695cbacked Yes | 22c | 638.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…daedbacked No | 75c | 605.6$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 2c | 602.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 78c | 600$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 599.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 595.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 575.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…7faabacked Yes | 22c | 550.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 73c | 528.52$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 74c | 514.14$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 497.87$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 22c | 496.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 24c | 490$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 73c | 489.95$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 75c | 478.83$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 27c | 474.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 461.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 77c | 456.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed No | 75c | 433.64$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed Yes | 24c | 417.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 3c | 413.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 70c | 410.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…a608backed Yes | 24c | 410.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked No | 75c | 398.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 75c | 397.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked Yes | 22c | 374.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…c4bcbacked Yes | 28c | 362.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 21c | 340$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 31c | 318.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 26c | 303.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…f05cbacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…8413backed Yes | 36c | 288.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 27c | 285.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 64c | 277.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…a365backed Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…717dbacked No | 77c | 274.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 76c | 264.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 258.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…78cebacked Yes | 14c | 256.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…99eebacked Yes | 39c | 255.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.