Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d24ee4a01942ef54084a452aafe6bb8d4e39d30a937e63bef72af1838fd2cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritz of Fritz , Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fokina | 11c | 16,813$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.3 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Fokina | 11c | 7,017$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Fritz | 76c | 6,125$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.18 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Fokina | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Fokina | 10c | 5,756$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.78 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fokina | 13c | 3,821$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.27 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Fokina | 15c | 3,411$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.65 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fokina | 16c | 3,138$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.95 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Fokina | 11c | 3,047$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.41 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Fokina | 13c | 2,799$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fokina | 26c | 2,589$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.13 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…7926backed Fritz | 80c | 2,310$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Fritz | 80c | 1,992$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Fokina | 5c | 1,720$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fokina | 10c | 1,666$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Fokina | 17c | 1,474$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Fokina | 16c | 1,380$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Fritz | 76c | 1,140$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fokina | 9c | 1,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fokina | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fokina | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…0b2cbacked Fokina | 20c | 995$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fokina | 26c | 799.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Fokina | 10c | 760$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Fritz | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…abc2backed Fritz | 80c | 740$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Fokina | 24c | 724.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Fritz | 77c | 711.09$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fokina | 27c | 624.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Fokina | 24c | 551.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Fokina | 15c | 434.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Fokina | 11c | 424.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Fokina | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fokina | 5c | 406$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…cf00backed Fokina | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Fokina | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Fokina | 10c | 311.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fritz | 74c | 310.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Fritz | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…6789backed Fritz | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Fritz | 75c | 244.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 80c | 223.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fokina | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Fokina | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Fokina | 8c | 179.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fokina | 10c | 176.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fokina | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Fokina | 26c | 153.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fokina | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Fokina | 29c | 104.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Fokina | 29c | 102.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fokina | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Fritz | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Fritz | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Fokina | 24c | 99.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Fokina | 24c | 79.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fritz | 75c | 76.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…e181backed Fokina | 23c | 69.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Fritz | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Fritz | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Fritz | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Fritz | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Fritz | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Fritz | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Fritz | 78c | 36.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Fritz | 74c | 35.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…04f7backed Fritz | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fritz | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…422ebacked Fritz | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Fritz | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.