Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Bonzi vs. Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ed42990e7571bddbe37a590d69bcd6dd9ae3a03fa384996ae4567952014365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonzi of Bonzi , Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bonzi | 20c | 17,985$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,387.29 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bonzi | 8c | 5,431$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.64 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Medvedev | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Medvedev | 43c | 1,759$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bonzi | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Medvedev | 54c | 981.78$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.65 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…50fdbacked Medvedev | 76c | 923.11$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bonzi | 7c | 819.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.24 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Bonzi | 35c | 744.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.46 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Bonzi | 46c | 697.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Medvedev | 72c | 625.8$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Medvedev | 18c | 568.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Bonzi | 29c | 548.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.28 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bonzi | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bonzi | 25c | 401.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Bonzi | 28c | 380$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Medvedev | 55c | 363$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Bonzi | 26c | 303.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Bonzi | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Bonzi | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bonzi | 11c | 232.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Bonzi | 10c | 192.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bonzi | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Bonzi | 24c | 135.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Medvedev | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bonzi | 16c | 109$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bonzi | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…94e5backed Bonzi | 29c | 92.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Medvedev | 47c | 82.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Medvedev | 75c | 64.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bonzi | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Medvedev | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…66f8backed Medvedev | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Medvedev | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Medvedev | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Medvedev | 70c | 15.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.