Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5844c062cef913e0d160a5076e6dce75a0e92d5c00e7703ea5e5a77c1b256043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 39c | 83,757$32,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,266.66 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 40c | 26,612$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,050.86 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…96c5backed Yes | 61c | 22,911$13,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Yes | 59c | 18,960$11,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,186.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 16,090$9,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,422.86 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 11,804$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.49 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 45c | 11,385$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.01 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 40c | 10,556$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.66 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 54c | 8,714$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 61c | 4,010$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Yes | 60c | 3,698$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 60c | 3,407$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 2,673$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.42 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…e6fcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,592$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.97 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,263$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 22c | 2,075$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 42c | 2,010$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.39 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 1,908$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.63 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 27c | 1,734$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.59 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 61c | 1,629$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.67 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 39c | 1,190$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,097$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 1,082$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.85 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…c96bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,041$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 56c | 1,040$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.09 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 52c | 849.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 59c | 847.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…2232backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 54c | 771.26$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 67c | 750.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 61c | 653.49$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.98 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 600$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked No | 39c | 517.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Yes | 62c | 504.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.7 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 33c | 504.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 60c | 493.38$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 41c | 464.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 54c | 451.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 62c | 450$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 60c | 440.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 23c | 436.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 59c | 431.49$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…f3c8backed Yes | 61c | 427.05$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 59c | 423.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 41c | 423$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 399.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.95 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 61c | 352.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 61c | 351.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 334$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…22afbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 59c | 330$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 61c | 320.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…6a22backed Yes | 65c | 300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 59c | 299.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 292.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 60c | 279.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 62c | 264.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Yes | 62c | 251.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 39c | 242.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Yes | 62c | 242.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 59c | 238.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 5c | 238.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…4baabacked Yes | 60c | 184.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…f582backed Yes | 55c | 178.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 176.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…b4c5backed Yes | 65c | 172.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Yes | 50c | 168.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 60c | 168.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 59c | 163.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…9e4cbacked Yes | 63c | 153$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 42c | 148.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 15c | 144.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Borussia Dortmund?No won
- Will Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.