Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bdca9ae4b51678d74a59f0b90336407806ec1f7bbc6ed35ff1487861522cf35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Dortmund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Real Madrid | 77c | 52,111$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,110.78 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Dortmund | 2c | 42,419$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Dortmund | 3c | 30,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Dortmund | 25c | 28,159$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,177.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dortmund | 3c | 18,734$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.37 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Dortmund | 3c | 15,062$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.85 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Dortmund | 23c | 10,966$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.99 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Dortmund | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Dortmund | 22c | 6,888$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.26 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…476dbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 6,367$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Dortmund | 24c | 6,352$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.66 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Real Madrid | 76c | 5,710$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…3f06backed Dortmund | 25c | 5,516$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Dortmund | 24c | 5,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Dortmund | 14c | 4,542$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.13 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Dortmund | 16c | 4,363$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.9 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dortmund | 2c | 4,105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Real Madrid | 77c | 3,905$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Dortmund | 16c | 3,631$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dortmund | 23c | 3,550$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.35 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Dortmund | 2c | 3,390$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Dortmund | 3c | 3,290$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Dortmund | 3c | 3,160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dortmund | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Real Madrid | 76c | 2,888$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.52 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Dortmund | 25c | 2,600$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.53 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dortmund | 23c | 2,026$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.94 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Dortmund | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Real Madrid | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…51e9backed Dortmund | 14c | 1,860$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,642$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Dortmund | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,487$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Real Madrid | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…9d75backed Real Madrid | 79c | 1,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Dortmund | 26c | 1,180$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed Real Madrid | 78c | 1,158$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dortmund | 21c | 1,047$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 1,037$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Dortmund | 16c | 1,022$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Real Madrid | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dortmund | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Dortmund | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Dortmund | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Dortmund | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Dortmund | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dortmund | 24c | 796$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Dortmund | 14c | 788$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Real Madrid | 77c | 760.49$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Dortmund | 2c | 735$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…1c2bbacked Dortmund | 3c | 686.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Dortmund | 25c | 684$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Dortmund | 24c | 661.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Dortmund | 23c | 632.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Dortmund | 2c | 610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Real Madrid | 74c | 600.64$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Dortmund | 23c | 565$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Dortmund | 13c | 560.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed Real Madrid | 77c | 514.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Real Madrid | 78c | 507.69$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Real Madrid | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dortmund | 25c | 479.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Real Madrid | 75c | 475.25$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed Dortmund | 24c | 421.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Real Madrid | 75c | 391$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Real Madrid | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…055abacked Real Madrid | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Dortmund | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Dortmund | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Dortmund | 29c | 380.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Dortmund | 29c | 347.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 339.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Real Madrid | 76c | 339.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Real Madrid | 74c | 337.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Real Madrid | 78c | 335.06$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Dortmund | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 314.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 304.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dortmund | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dortmund | 24c | 299.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…af03backed Dortmund | 25c | 295.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Real Madrid | 76c | 277.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Real Madrid | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Dortmund | 25c | 272$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…57c3backed Real Madrid | 78c | 266.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Real Madrid | 76c | 262.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…eb14backed Dortmund | 25c | 261.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…6e10backed Real Madrid | 77c | 242.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Dortmund | 5c | 241$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dortmund | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Real Madrid | 74c | 230$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Real Madrid | 74c | 224.16$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…880abacked Dortmund | 25c | 222.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Real Madrid | 77c | 221.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Dortmund | 23c | 220.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Real Madrid | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…27adbacked Dortmund | 27c | 205.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Dortmund | 6c | 203.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.