Champions League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72af58ffc2d5929ae808247c0653bc89948eadb0d3e111420fdb92a8343428e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 31c | 14,485$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 9c | 13,802$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.98 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…d9f8backed Yes | 62c | 4,911$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 4,670$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.21 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 69c | 3,701$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 76c | 3,272$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.63 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 29c | 2,201$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 71c | 1,825$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.35 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 22c | 1,788$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 10c | 1,176$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Yes | 14c | 745.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 70c | 600$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 504.02$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 40c | 306.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a7…142cbacked Yes | 49c | 283.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 51c | 268.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 8c | 256.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 65c | 195.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 76c | 151.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 40c | 137.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…4d76backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Yes | 60c | 100.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 11c | 93.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Yes | 39c | 81.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Yes | 22c | 76.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked No | 74c | 67.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…a997backed Yes | 20c | 51.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 47c | 46.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5852…b1a8backed Yes | 29c | 43.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…1f02backed No | 73c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 80c | 28.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.