Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9509624695c654edf7f6e1c3e24d912b2eee895b50bc415b7c3c92f7fc78e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 29c | 3,431$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 1c | 2,097$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 30c | 1,864$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 1,684$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.47 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes | 30c | 1,622$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 1,481$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.87 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 1,059$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 1,053$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 39c | 763.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed No | 29c | 533.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 374$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Yes | 33c | 209.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 35c | 163.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed No | 16c | 144$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked No | 76c | 120.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 16c | 103.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 33c | 84.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…4d76backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 37c | 81.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 68c | 73.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 68c | 54.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Yes | 38c | 52.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 72c | 45.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 65c | 41.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 78c | 39.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 64c | 25.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed No | 77c | 22.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?Yes won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.