Champions League · resolved market
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c3c7b3bedc02117350aca2cc90aa79eaeb37c4a87cc8984289e3f61a92f9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 59c | 2,026$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.07 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 47c | 1,732$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.33 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 1,621$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.26 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked No | 43c | 1,408$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 70c | 1,168$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fe6cbacked Yes | 44c | 995$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…9b5cbacked Yes | 48c | 980$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…be48backed Yes | 40c | 936.56$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 39c | 866$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…1822backed No | 56c | 830$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 51c | 762.24$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 53c | 735.15$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…00e0backed No | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…8c08backed No | 52c | 445$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 39c | 171$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…314cbacked No | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 43c | 129.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 41c | 98.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 61c | 81.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 45c | 80.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…926dbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 50c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 32c | 34.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked No | 62c | 31.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…ccc6backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 57c | 19.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.