Champions League · resolved market
Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City: 5+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e6756c0a13f9cd301f3d5bddfc5682153301c9658a4b9d35ced301860fa1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.99 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 37c | 26,915$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958.61 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 61c | 17,319$10,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.15 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 37c | 14,321$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 37c | 8,263$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…86f5backed No | 38c | 7,499$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 64c | 6,408$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 41c | 5,988$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 71c | 4,001$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 38c | 2,599$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.76 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 2,217$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.14 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 37c | 2,050$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,003$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 61c | 1,687$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 63c | 1,394$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 37c | 1,391$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.22 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 79c | 1,034$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 62c | 483.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…ca5fbacked No | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 413.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…c693backed No | 36c | 294.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 38c | 264.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 30c | 240.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 69c | 217.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 60c | 199.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 37c | 124.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 63c | 107.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 67c | 102.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…4e02backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 41c | 52.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4a10backed Yes | 60c | 50.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 37c | 38.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.