TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dortmundof Dortmund, Monterrey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf520…0637backed Monterrey 30c32,017$9,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,615.3518758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Dortmund69c24,281$16,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,529.379159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Dortmund73c23,425$17,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,375.152740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Dortmund68c16,189$11,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,180.573863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Dortmund70c12,563$8,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,814.2829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Monterrey 32c10,000$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1907451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Monterrey 10c9,650$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.55628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Monterrey 31c9,483$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.8536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Dortmund71c6,748$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monterrey 30c6,336$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.2223942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Dortmund69c5,035$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Monterrey 32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Dortmund69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Monterrey 29c4,050$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Dortmund71c3,511$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.496053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Monterrey 32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Monterrey 18c2,803$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.943135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Monterrey 17c2,800$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.651625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…f1f8backed Monterrey 15c2,780$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.321844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed Dortmund70c2,650$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Monterrey 15c2,500$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Dortmund69c2,176$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.275133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Dortmund69c2,106$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.35764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Monterrey 28c2,088$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4312956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Monterrey 31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Monterrey 26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Monterrey 31c1,754$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Monterrey 29c1,721$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0317853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Monterrey 19c1,718$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.226950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Dortmund70c1,714$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.298638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Monterrey 31c1,479$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.453745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Monterrey 31c1,354$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7117658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Monterrey 25c1,220$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Dortmund68c1,048$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda82…eb29backed Dortmund70c1,048$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Monterrey 11c993.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9312862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e30…1072backed Monterrey 31c966.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Monterrey 31c919.48$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.299350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Monterrey 32c799.35$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.212528%7 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Dortmund76c757.89$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0424963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x40ba…f500backed Monterrey 29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa628…1943backed Monterrey 6c698.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+172.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839c…9651backed Monterrey 31c650.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Monterrey 31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Monterrey 30c642$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.43562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Monterrey 30c625.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed Dortmund70c621.21$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.681181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Monterrey 32c618.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Monterrey 28c611.06$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4344955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Dortmund70c601.31$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Monterrey 5c600$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4613538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Monterrey 8c599.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.354040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Monterrey 17c599.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Monterrey 31c596.65$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Dortmund70c514.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Dortmund70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Dortmund70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Dortmund70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…51e9backed Dortmund70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Monterrey 30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe807…8922backed Monterrey 31c485.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Monterrey 25c443.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb42d…e428backed Monterrey 33c439.62$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Dortmund72c428.07$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.384367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Monterrey 15c400.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.337640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dortmund70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed Monterrey 25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6b…b084backed Dortmund70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Monterrey 20c355$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.35242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Monterrey 30c348.64$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.334961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Monterrey 31c340.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.58837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Dortmund72c339.04$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.327100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Dortmund69c326.01$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9214655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Monterrey 4c322.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd876…767ebacked Monterrey 31c315.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea2…f8f3backed Monterrey 32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ac…9c62backed Dortmund69c311.8$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Dortmund72c309.63$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.712354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Monterrey 31c305.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Monterrey 31c304.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Dortmund72c304.17$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.173060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Monterrey 32c302.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Monterrey 33c301.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Dortmund70c301$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.322045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Dortmund71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0110543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Dortmund75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Monterrey 28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848450%42 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Dortmund69c289.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3724047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e2…21d0backed Dortmund70c286.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430c…0c89backed Dortmund70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02de…44e6backed Dortmund70c284$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Dortmund71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.694242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Dortmund72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Dortmund67c269.93$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.082657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df4…3ffabacked Monterrey 30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8a…8f1bbacked Monterrey 32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Monterrey 30c249.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.061414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Monterrey 31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04fd…c75cbacked Dortmund75c236.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Monterrey 15c236$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.