La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160581bf5c3f47bd3bd762c7c33af6d0626612312b2d73da9c49dddae4a7e4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Yes | 51c | 10,196$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 49c | 10,173$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.68 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 27c | 3,879$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 1,597$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.39 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 40c | 1,573$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 895.18$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 819.67$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.67 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Yes | 78c | 704.85$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 32c | 664.48$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 540.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 8c | 540.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 530.26$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 525.18$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 51c | 517.76$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 46c | 499.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 74c | 450.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 399.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Yes | 73c | 369.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Yes | 51c | 303.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 72c | 285.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 73c | 273.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 21c | 225$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 24c | 223.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…aac2backed Yes | 57c | 214.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 47c | 198.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 49c | 192.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Yes | 58c | 190.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 181.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 49c | 176.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 49c | 164.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 74c | 144.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed No | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 47c | 126.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 54c | 100.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…3520backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 52c | 93.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…9663backed Yes | 51c | 71.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 50c | 59.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…0526backed Yes | 70c | 57.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed No | 49c | 56.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…ec51backed Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 44.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…9792backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 54c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 67c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 52c | 31.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…8e01backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 54c | 28.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…8c19backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…8cc7backed Yes | 51c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…2edabacked Yes | 73c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-08-22?No won
- Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.