La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18de1ca19019edafd8bbfd6f6df2ef8d631a849d401d7b058c74603ab8f3f434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 77c | 767.88$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 72c | 499.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 276.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 21c | 228.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 126.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed No | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Yes | 28c | 64.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 46.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-08-22?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.