La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ecb55b7ecf53dcd35333169c514926fed18d38e4f890188b64baa819247404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 9c | 4,441$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.67 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 79c | 3,531$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 23c | 1,331$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.46 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 79c | 942.8$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 79c | 660.61$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 21c | 632.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 78c | 499.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…aac2backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 8c | 269.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 77c | 195.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 23c | 186.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 163.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 16c | 157.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 114.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 79c | 104.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…cad3backed Yes | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6741backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-08-22?this page
- Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.