TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9022…b426

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$42.71
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$19.58
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$26.07
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.5
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.4
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.38
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$35.53
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39.35
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27.59
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.