MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd787def16b5c9b6e3a7ea83055c60ba0c4d4473120cd8230c76193cf39b43a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked White Sox | 45c | 393,843$177,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,033.32 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 169,593$93,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,316.83 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 70,383$43,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,009.93 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 69,171$38,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,126.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 50,684$28,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,611.2 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 12,222$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.9 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 9,140$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.49 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 7,277$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 43c | 6,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 5,555$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked White Sox | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,873$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 1c | 3,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,223$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 9c | 2,577$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 38c | 2,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,446$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.24 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,207$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.01 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked White Sox | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed White Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 931.75$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 879.23$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 678.96$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 44c | 620.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed White Sox | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked White Sox | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 484.57$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 442.95$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed White Sox | 46c | 437.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed White Sox | 44c | 410$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 44c | 408.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked White Sox | 15c | 363.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 4c | 343$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 341.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked White Sox | 45c | 332.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 279.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked White Sox | 34c | 244.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 239.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 208.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…5626backed White Sox | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…bfcbbacked White Sox | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 137.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 125.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked White Sox | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked White Sox | 45c | 119.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked White Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a58ebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 110.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed White Sox | 45c | 110.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 109.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…72f5backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 105.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 104.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 104.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…4ef5backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed White Sox | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed White Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…e5b7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 95.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 89.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…0a47backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 81.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 76.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed White Sox | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed White Sox | 45c | 66.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…568cbacked White Sox | 45c | 65.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e57backed White Sox | 44c | 60.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…9ad1backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 59.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 58.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…5ac2backed White Sox | 45c | 57.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Diamondbacks | 77c | 55.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.