TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0af…5dd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.57
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$44.27
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.33
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$45.96
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.53
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$38.16
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$56.73
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$21.18
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+455.6%+$68.33
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+566.7%+$68
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+354.5%+$65.59
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+25%+$11.35
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$28.1
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$49
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$19.29
Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+122.2%+$55
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+270.4%+$97.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+56.3%+$26.72
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$26.4
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$32
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+66.7%+$64
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$11.85
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.