TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Nets12c22,803$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.0133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets13c12,144$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.1546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets18c9,821$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Nets15c7,464$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.889437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Nets15c6,325$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.7120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers75c4,817$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets1c4,013$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets32c3,989$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.441,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.041,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nets21c1,861$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0620851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets2c1,850$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.736514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets2c1,776$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.945502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets12c1,669$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers66c1,504$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets15c1,500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets10c1,475$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0766…3e65backed Nets14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets2c1,410$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.171,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Nets16c1,353$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.416347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Nets9c1,352$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb50…10d7backed Nets15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Nets13c1,300$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5750453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Nets11c1,250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.55827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Nets11c1,205$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0826431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets1c1,202$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.021,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f5…94bebacked Nets14c1,160$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets25c1,157$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Nets4c1,116$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7746426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets12c1,100$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets10c1,067$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Nets14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Nets6c946.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc2…db6abacked Nets39c878.36$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets13c738$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Cavaliers76c707.88$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Nets14c690.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets15c677.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets5c670$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.615613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Nets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers75c639$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets13c616.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1246342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Nets14c584.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8636643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets13c577$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets18c575.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets18c574.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Cavaliers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Cavaliers68c470.59$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5912955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Nets14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Nets8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Nets15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Nets14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers70c399.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4931935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Nets14c399.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8994951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers79c371.42$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Nets14c360$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.432041.9%134 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Nets14c359.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413043.1%56 W · 74 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Nets14c359.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410426%27 W · 77 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5906…e84abacked Nets15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a8f…500fbacked Nets15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Nets12c326.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.158521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Nets5c314$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0719231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b86…5ecfbacked Cavaliers73c309.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets11c299.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets21c293.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.341,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets5c269.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Nets12c230$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b9…db19backed Nets28c208.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Nets15c206.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Nets12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Nets14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be7…a41bbacked Nets14c194.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Nets13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nets13c192$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2089…6f2bbacked Nets16c181.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Nets14c175.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Nets11c173.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.094126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nets28c171$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1737831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Nets15c168$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets25c149.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…16adbacked Nets14c140.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2b…5c4abacked Nets11c134$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Nets15c129.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2bb…b014backed Nets12c126$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Nets14c118$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Nets14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f4e…2a3abacked Nets14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512045.8%55 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de4…6912backed Nets15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Cavaliers70c101.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3693036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.