TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canada vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Finland19c16,397$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.223225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Finland19c14,005$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.9111145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f56…fefdbacked Finland22c10,149$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…bec8backed Canada78c10,026$7,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Finland17c7,691$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.979459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked Finland19c6,706$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-79%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Finland19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.96560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Finland20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Finland1c4,614$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…6fd0backed Finland20c4,043$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.462619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x394a…d309backed Canada80c3,671$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…3842backed Canada80c3,610$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Finland19c2,874$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.086642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Finland10c2,782$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8125340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Finland19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9720751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed Canada80c2,146$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Finland18c1,784$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Finland2c1,665$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.363839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebfd…dfd0backed Canada80c1,635$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6917…f6e7backed Canada80c1,506$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Finland21c1,452$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb00…528abacked Finland19c1,279$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Finland20c1,251$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Finland20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Finland2c1,204$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Finland20c1,200$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Finland19c1,165$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Finland20c1,096$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Finland19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5148149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Finland19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Finland20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20f…4397backed Finland2c970.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Finland20c900$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4b…bdc9backed Finland20c875$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canada80c802$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…2318backed Finland20c749.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe66…0b48backed Finland21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Finland20c701.97$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Canada79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…fedcbacked Finland19c573.3$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2f6…1493backed Finland23c560.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Finland19c559.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a36…5dd0backed Finland20c535$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Finland20c518.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.674551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Finland20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa591…5f6abacked Finland21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Finland22c473.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.216041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Canada80c456.83$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.378347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59c0…cd82backed Finland19c400.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Finland20c372.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.415752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679c…e26fbacked Canada80c357.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Canada79c351.77$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.872540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Finland21c318.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Finland18c315.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.824450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…edaabacked Finland20c315$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff8…8a10backed Finland20c310.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…154ebacked Finland20c309.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Canada80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6021255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Finland20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Canada80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f2a…352cbacked Canada80c257.71$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04d…7d54backed Canada80c251.35$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…7135backed Canada80c250.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Canada80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6146…0636backed Finland21c246.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…461dbacked Canada80c232.27$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacaf…999fbacked Canada80c228.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Finland21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd124…e0babacked Canada80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470f…400fbacked Finland20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Finland19c188$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed Canada79c162.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Finland21c161.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d7…93b4backed Canada80c160.79$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Finland22c158.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Finland22c138.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…4458backed Canada80c137.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4f…b359backed Canada80c135.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Finland15c131.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83f…d2cebacked Finland25c131$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8134…bf1abacked Finland20c126.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Canada80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8b…449bbacked Canada80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd782…cbf3backed Canada80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Finland21c124$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2955…91f4backed Canada79c124$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.041560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…4a73backed Finland21c122.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3525…e084backed Finland25c122$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Finland22c120.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2110638.7%41 W · 65 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5c…c46abacked Canada77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bd…de55backed Finland23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6864…93fdbacked Finland21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Finland18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8a…218bbacked Canada80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…f39fbacked Canada78c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Finland19c113$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.347660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x98f9…5aeebacked Canada80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd36…8529backed Canada79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…892dbacked Canada79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e1…3095backed Finland20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.