TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Padres35c235,685$83,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,265.0416643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers65c75,910$49,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,568.3335854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers65c67,093$43,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,614.5786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Dodgers65c63,752$41,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,369.7711153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Dodgers65c33,333$21,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,666.5517351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Padres36c20,884$7,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,518.2827948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers65c20,025$12,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.181,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers64c16,176$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.9741850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres22c12,724$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.39,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Dodgers64c10,064$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.5311746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Padres21c10,041$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.2697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Padres48c8,000$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.213056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers79c6,145$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.2815353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Dodgers64c5,085$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.6514747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Padres25c4,911$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.281,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers64c4,902$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.752,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers61c4,416$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.5625550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres41c4,402$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.3169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres23c4,173$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…8d19backed Padres36c4,141$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b27…677ebacked Dodgers61c3,886$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d40…5990backed Padres39c3,886$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers58c3,469$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.3913450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Dodgers64c2,799$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.8249650.2%249 W · 247 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Padres30c2,542$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers65c2,417$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.251,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Dodgers65c2,322$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.4260451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers64c2,220$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.21,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aac…1b36backed Dodgers65c2,123$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Padres39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Dodgers64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9537446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Padres35c1,769$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.131,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed Padres38c1,708$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Dodgers62c1,705$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers61c1,614$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.532,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dodgers63c1,598$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.274461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers65c1,541$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8932852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers54c1,513$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.8754051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Padres35c1,500$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb528…75d2backed Padres36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Dodgers64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43217248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Padres51c1,181$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Padres35c1,032$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.313743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Padres40c1,001$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.318349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed Dodgers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Padres35c999.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9193240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6917…7279backed Dodgers66c990$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…502bbacked Padres34c990$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers64c938$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9561…fd99backed Padres34c860$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9352…cab5backed Dodgers66c860$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres36c839.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Dodgers59c825.55$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.553243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Padres43c822.23$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.837841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers53c804.08$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0825835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Dodgers41c720.41$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.337951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Dodgers66c678.6$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.64374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Padres47c642.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Padres36c640.12$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.445,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Padres34c580.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers73c580.02$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.994,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers56c565.3$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8817927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Padres36c562.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Dodgers59c509.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Padres3c489.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.595862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Padres36c474.44$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Padres33c451.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Padres36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers74c411$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6519650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…07e0backed Padres7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Dodgers65c376.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.947847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Padres12c372.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.891,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Padres54c360.43$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.21,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Padres29c358.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8415644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Padres36c345.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Dodgers57c342.44$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2514951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Padres11c340$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers62c333.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8812552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4626651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Padres29c313.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Padres34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Dodgers65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres10c289.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9315944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Padres36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Padres36c279$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Padres37c270.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.221,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers68c254.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0247850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Dodgers53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9524444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Dodgers50c188.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.57935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad9e…ca58backed Padres36c179.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.483551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf14d…4c11backed Dodgers66c174.28$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.063447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Padres39c167$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.836,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres35c165.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.