NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ab1b8983636c98fa6c998b12ba110f438c875680996314952931f957a2cba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Grizzlies, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Grizzlies | 23c | 77,327$17,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,538.5 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 44,322$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 27,266$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 26,211$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.55 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 67c | 20,000$13,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,584.83 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 23c | 11,268$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.67 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Grizzlies | 29c | 10,320$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 10,106$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.83 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Cavaliers | 70c | 9,471$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.81 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 32c | 7,100$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.87 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cavaliers | 75c | 6,908$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.94 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 71c | 6,150$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 34c | 5,983$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 9c | 5,874$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Grizzlies | 32c | 5,758$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.56 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.89 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 4,500$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.93 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Grizzlies | 34c | 4,432$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Cavaliers | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 4,169$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 33c | 4,098$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.34 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,451$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.38 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 69c | 3,311$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 3,293$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.72 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,562$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.93 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 2,449$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,311$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,140$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 2,102$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.97 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,012$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Grizzlies | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 71c | 1,662$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.97 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,633$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 1,564$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 30c | 1,543$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,455$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.65 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,297$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.56 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 1,260$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…c31cbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,105$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…937dbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,060$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,010$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Cavaliers | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 23c | 999.28$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 2c | 905.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 899.26$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 879.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 69c | 872.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.05 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 850$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 848.72$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 799.09$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 67c | 750$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Grizzlies | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 700$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 31c | 654.68$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 600.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers | 75c | 598$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Grizzlies | 21c | 595.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 34c | 592.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Grizzlies | 33c | 587.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 569.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 560.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 560$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 68c | 559.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Cavaliers | 72c | 552.71$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 509.92$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 500.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d8b3backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Cavaliers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…89d3backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Cavaliers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…2e01backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…d1eebacked Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…93f4backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacef…4a51backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…a4a6backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…6833backed Grizzlies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.