NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182ede6eaabb3153743c9bfc6563086bf731ba8c66946dbcfca442f8f45ebb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Grizzlies, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $674,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c9f…35ccbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 76,788$43,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,001.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…324dbacked Pacers | 44c | 66,000$29,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 13c | 48,804$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.57 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Grizzlies | 67c | 26,304$17,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,665.06 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 17,741$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.82 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers | 51c | 15,899$8,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.78 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 8c | 12,794$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.13 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 12,792$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.3 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…6613backed Pacers | 44c | 10,800$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 43c | 9,933$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.88 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 40c | 9,083$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pacers | 65c | 8,921$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.33 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Grizzlies | 57c | 8,617$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.43 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Grizzlies | 58c | 7,818$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.85 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 6,385$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Pacers | 43c | 5,739$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.34 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Grizzlies | 57c | 5,011$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…da34backed Grizzlies | 0c | 4,872$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 4,596$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Pacers | 47c | 4,215$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.05 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.91 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 3,980$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.8 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 42c | 3,855$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…5d7bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 3,650$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Grizzlies | 0c | 3,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Grizzlies | 64c | 3,064$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.29 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Pacers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Pacers | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,452$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…5ad8backed Pacers | 45c | 2,350$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 2,205$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.32 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,195$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 2,013$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 43c | 2,012$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.07 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb848…4765backed Pacers | 45c | 1,750$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Pacers | 48c | 1,651$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,503$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,501$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Pacers | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…c64bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,430$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,404$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.98 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,403$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 50c | 1,337$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.33 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…74a7backed Pacers | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,295$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pacers | 45c | 1,256$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.12 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdb…271abacked Pacers | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Grizzlies | 29c | 1,221$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…0982backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,178$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…10d7backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,156$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…982dbacked Pacers | 44c | 1,155$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…2219backed Pacers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,075$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.01 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…8c14backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,042$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…acbdbacked Pacers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Pacers | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Grizzlies | 42c | 958.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 56c | 948.56$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.69 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…91c8backed Pacers | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 904.76$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pacers | 43c | 895.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.42 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Grizzlies | 44c | 825.13$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Pacers | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 54c | 753.28$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.26 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Grizzlies | 59c | 742.34$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.35 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Grizzlies | 53c | 733.91$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 697.66$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 52c | 695.01$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pacers | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Grizzlies | 16c | 658.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 650.88$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 44c | 644.7$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50cebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 630.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers | 46c | 608$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.32 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…532dbacked Pacers | 44c | 604.36$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…e3e4backed Pacers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…71a8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Pacers | 33c | 598.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Pacers | 41c | 580.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Pacers | 46c | 539.13$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 538.35$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Pacers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Pacers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.