Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb38850094621627eb2a6acb4114545456eb28de9c713cf1499b955bb6b89c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20de…dd86backed Yes | 16c | 9,995$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,568$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,782$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 17c | 432.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 15c | 362$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 17c | 191.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 18c | 176.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 18c | 56.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.