TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffd6…9b1cbacked No30c76,764$23,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,029.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes70c71,419$49,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,425.718948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No6c44,598$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.7479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No30c9,127$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.4468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No27c7,617$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.0232037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.9638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No26c6,286$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.611657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…0108backed Yes71c4,773$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes75c3,192$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.932725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes72c2,813$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.221450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes70c2,627$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.13275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes73c2,503$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.863348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes69c2,500$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7704852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes70c2,091$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.223961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes70c1,800$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54027752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No28c1,800$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.925453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a31…fed2backed Yes72c1,705$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes72c1,646$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7710445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No30c1,523$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed Yes72c1,309$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes71c1,214$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.13652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes71c1,126$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.463151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed No5c1,115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.142128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed No30c1,100$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96fb…b2a3backed Yes70c1,098$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked No31c995.24$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.091827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No28c970.75$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8116660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes69c922.43$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7174…d302backed Yes72c914.72$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes71c913.32$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.864742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No29c889.94$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes70c871.16$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.356838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No28c791.54$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.633551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadff…e3f3backed Yes70c785.17$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No28c784.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes72c743.06$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.06955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes73c738.72$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed Yes73c714.37$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2325637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No23c703.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d38…2122backed Yes71c647.31$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes71c632.87$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.538155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No27c607.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.168047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes70c597.14$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes71c591.94$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.667034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No15c580.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.954926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes72c557.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.519037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes73c511.69$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.694261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c500$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4129653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c500$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No31c416.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.067651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Yes73c415.97$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Yes70c398.31$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes69c385.83$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes71c382.72$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.991883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No20c376.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes71c352.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.15747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2524…1261backed Yes71c351.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+169%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes72c349.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes71c336.28$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes70c329.24$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.773857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9032822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes71c288.73$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.739027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes70c282.17$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6529238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7811638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes70c271.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.436144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes72c254.2$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed Yes72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes70c239.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes71c228.98$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.410341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6d…2a58backed No31c211.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes70c209.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.933953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes70c199.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…388ebacked Yes73c192.31$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes70c191.93$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.585337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No29c188$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No29c187.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.077967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No29c186.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5936259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No26c181.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0729751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes70c173.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe2a5…30c4backed Yes70c161.49$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+86.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x365e…ec69backed Yes71c154.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.641741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddfa…4678backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…cad0backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+150%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ac…6439backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc476…8715backed Yes70c140.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b6…3809backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.