TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No12c64,921$8,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,073.4379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No20c30,000$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,966.372231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No20c28,305$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,661.053333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes80c22,500$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes80c15,268$12,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.849754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No20c13,195$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.4514659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No16c10,408$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No20c10,131$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes80c6,944$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.7514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Yes80c6,451$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No6c5,607$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes80c5,373$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.699235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No18c4,050$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…4fd3backed No3c3,795$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes80c3,064$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.754264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No2c2,998$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.953910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked No7c2,867$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No15c2,254$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes79c2,222$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.625646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No20c1,501$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes80c1,281$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No21c1,270$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.74035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes80c1,267$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No12c1,230$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes80c1,034$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes80c1,011$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No13c896.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd854…b563backed Yes80c818.56$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No19c769.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Yes80c730.28$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes80c700.78$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.161855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6697…b37dbacked Yes80c646.28$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No18c484.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No19c461.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fc…1f6abacked Yes80c375.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked Yes80c374.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c330$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes80c317.28$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.467934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No18c311$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.481,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed No21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc17…2a3bbacked Yes80c266.78$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes80c250.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.173435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No12c240$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No15c237.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes79c236.5$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.669355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No5c203$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8714062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No21c200.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678c…3c02backed Yes80c190$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes80c181.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes80c124.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.983345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…513abacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a2…0b5bbacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b46…7c2fbacked No21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed Yes80c85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes80c80.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.146152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb237…39e1backed No22c72.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…521cbacked No20c70.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbdd…d564backed No21c63.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes80c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…e44abacked Yes80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed No20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ec…01b6backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01f8…21f8backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb606…80f6backed Yes79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6466…6384backed Yes79c46.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…93a6backed Yes80c46.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e46…37d3backed Yes80c43.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes80c42.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.492147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes80c38.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85a…b4c2backed Yes80c35.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e7…5399backed Yes80c32.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes80c31.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.359334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Yes80c31.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9e…15e3backed Yes80c28.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.792458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9abdbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2aa…8ce3backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c1…c518backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…fd5ebacked Yes80c24.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5769…a5dabacked Yes80c19.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.851172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.