Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91873c2820fe58ddde26ab9628bb0c2cfd8dd06df9010b61d2908e321b1840e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 5c | 25,101$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.25 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 7c | 5,480$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,255$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,050$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,002$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,116$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,701$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 1c | 2,442$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 7c | 2,363$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,948$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 4c | 687.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 7c | 673.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe769…de1dbacked Yes | 7c | 557.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 6c | 503.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 9c | 418.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…64f8backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 8c | 154.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…08ddbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-02-16?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.