NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad601a1f8529dcc5373bc3eec8d276a1c941a0db4ed757cc2517dabb0b377dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 1c | 35,307$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.25 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 0c | 35,233$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Heat | 59c | 19,190$11,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,322.09 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Heat | 1c | 11,685$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 51c | 10,471$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Jazz | 24c | 7,160$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.45 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 24c | 5,000$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.23 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 20c | 4,624$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.05 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 0c | 4,580$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Heat | 39c | 4,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Heat | 76c | 4,373$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 16c | 4,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 26c | 3,677$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.13 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Jazz | 39c | 3,671$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Jazz | 23c | 3,176$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.8 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jazz | 72c | 3,000$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 25c | 2,819$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.44 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 40c | 2,786$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.37 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jazz | 22c | 2,731$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.26 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz | 16c | 2,222$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 24c | 2,166$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.2 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked Heat | 71c | 2,046$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked Jazz | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…9a7ebacked Jazz | 24c | 1,629$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Jazz | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 57c | 1,500$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.81 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Jazz | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 52c | 1,453$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Heat | 75c | 1,432$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Heat | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Heat | 73c | 1,300$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz | 23c | 1,208$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.09 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz | 26c | 1,057$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Heat | 76c | 1,050$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.89 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Jazz | 30c | 1,000$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.5 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Heat | 78c | 914$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.92 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 29c | 833.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz | 79c | 829.83$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Jazz | 60c | 792.37$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Heat | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Heat | 76c | 763.69$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Heat | 7c | 709.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Heat | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Heat | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 75c | 655.64$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Heat | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…3135backed Heat | 77c | 626.64$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 16c | 620$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Heat | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz | 15c | 599.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 4c | 545$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Heat | 75c | 542.53$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Jazz | 23c | 540$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Heat | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heat | 76c | 524.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b6e1backed Heat | 77c | 522.75$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz | 46c | 508.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed Jazz | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…8525backed Heat | 77c | 486.92$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz | 25c | 486$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Heat | 76c | 478.23$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Heat | 65c | 461.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 42c | 456.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Heat | 57c | 450$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jazz | 25c | 444$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Jazz | 23c | 434.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Jazz | 68c | 415$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 59c | 403.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Jazz | 69c | 400$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Jazz | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…0561backed Heat | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…d1e9backed Heat | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Jazz | 23c | 396$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1669backed Jazz | 27c | 392.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Heat | 74c | 389.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…7659backed Heat | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Heat | 65c | 385$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Jazz | 28c | 367$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.28 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz | 65c | 358.28$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Heat | 40c | 356.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz | 23c | 342.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz | 40c | 337.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Heat | 76c | 315.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Heat | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Jazz | 16c | 299.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Heat | 74c | 297.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Jazz | 18c | 278.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.81 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…2e01backed Heat | 75c | 266.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9d07backed Heat | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…7c92backed Heat | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…31febacked Heat | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…a9eebacked Heat | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.