NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514e0384d0117f4d9a457f3efff4c586030801b18bd8ba1868b6ca1904cafefc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,203,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,109,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe48a…f068backed Hornets | 15c | 120,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hornets | 20c | 62,306$12,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,552.34 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 26c | 44,985$11,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,240.41 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 12c | 42,691$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,411.75 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Lakers | 0c | 31,519$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 20c | 28,318$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,521.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Hornets | 31c | 22,324$6,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,502.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hornets | 64c | 20,140$12,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.67 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Lakers | 0c | 17,007$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hornets | 15c | 15,902$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,516.62 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Hornets | 13c | 15,746$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,743.8 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 11c | 10,506$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,305.4 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 29c | 9,464$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.39 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Hornets | 15c | 9,250$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,862.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 32c | 9,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 57c | 8,220$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…7f1ebacked Hornets | 15c | 7,314$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hornets | 14c | 7,110$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,105.94 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Hornets | 68c | 6,484$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.87 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Hornets | 16c | 6,394$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.77 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hornets | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 6c | 5,957$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.99 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 15c | 5,100$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…61eebacked Lakers | 75c | 4,506$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 8c | 4,494$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.12 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Hornets | 15c | 3,563$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.4 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.97 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 47c | 3,303$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.33 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…aae4backed Hornets | 15c | 3,126$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 14c | 3,108$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.84 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 12c | 3,050$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 2,796$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 12c | 2,794$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.09 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hornets | 13c | 2,789$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.22 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 62c | 2,603$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Hornets | 13c | 2,592$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Lakers | 75c | 2,203$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.69 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Lakers | 71c | 2,162$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Hornets | 8c | 2,130$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.96 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 26c | 2,046$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Hornets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hornets | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Hornets | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 12c | 1,927$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.65 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…ebc2backed Hornets | 16c | 1,869$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lakers | 68c | 1,852$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Hornets | 6c | 1,839$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.98 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets | 10c | 1,700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.45 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Hornets | 14c | 1,683$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 79c | 1,639$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.02 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets | 14c | 1,602$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.94 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Hornets | 13c | 1,532$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.15 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Hornets | 16c | 1,505$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.66 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 42c | 1,450$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 15c | 1,447$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.95 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Hornets | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.57 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Hornets | 15c | 1,350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 74c | 1,322$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.94 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Hornets | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Hornets | 14c | 1,179$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Hornets | 12c | 1,175$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.8 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets | 15c | 1,148$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.57 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Lakers | 40c | 1,129$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Hornets | 13c | 1,106$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 13c | 1,083$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Lakers | 1c | 1,008$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…f82dbacked Hornets | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 14c | 973.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.94 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hornets | 11c | 949.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.48 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Hornets | 38c | 928.91$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.41 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50cebacked Hornets | 13c | 917.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…29eebacked Hornets | 16c | 824.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +539.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets | 12c | 824$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1106…9e55backed Hornets | 16c | 821.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 13c | 799.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…0485backed Lakers | 77c | 781.28$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 12c | 774$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.12 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets | 65c | 770.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Lakers | 50c | 768.53$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Hornets | 11c | 757.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.97 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Lakers | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 13c | 754.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.48 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Hornets | 21c | 732.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.38 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 15c | 727.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Lakers | 61c | 716.89$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Hornets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hornets | 12c | 711.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.5 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 15c | 700$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Hornets | 12c | 694.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.03 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Lakers | 55c | 682.64$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Hornets | 16c | 628.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Lakers | 3c | 618.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hornets | 15c | 601.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.1 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.