NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae607acf602a42774a156ce8c2beb6a9a6a2c698f56d8d3ada4f7d4b1f308496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Saints, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Saints | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Saints | 16c | 43,972$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Saints | 9c | 21,592$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.35 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Saints | 18c | 14,721$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.39 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…72f8backed Saints | 10c | 13,334$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Saints | 11c | 11,764$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.69 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Saints | 18c | 11,138$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.38 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Saints | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Buccaneers | 69c | 9,000$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.3 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints | 10c | 8,470$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.27 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Buccaneers | 66c | 7,889$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.65 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Saints | 12c | 7,842$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.02 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Saints | 9c | 7,619$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.65 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…b2a6backed Saints | 10c | 7,551$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Saints | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Saints | 39c | 6,961$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Saints | 17c | 6,025$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.24 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Saints | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Saints | 13c | 4,042$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Saints | 23c | 3,759$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.19 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Saints | 2c | 2,970$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saints | 24c | 2,772$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.99 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Saints | 20c | 2,720$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.61 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 2c | 2,586$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Buccaneers | 70c | 2,575$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.05 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Saints | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…33ddbacked Saints | 10c | 2,234$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Saints | 10c | 1,993$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…dd08backed Saints | 26c | 1,832$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…5296backed Saints | 11c | 1,831$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Buccaneers | 73c | 1,830$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Saints | 27c | 1,750$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.82 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Saints | 30c | 1,679$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Saints | 35c | 1,583$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…9182backed Saints | 12c | 1,520$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Saints | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Saints | 21c | 1,297$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Buccaneers | 66c | 1,292$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.17 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Saints | 3c | 1,250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Saints | 4c | 1,246$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers | 64c | 1,233$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.62 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Saints | 17c | 1,182$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Saints | 40c | 1,172$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Buccaneers | 71c | 1,148$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.56 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Saints | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Saints | 10c | 946.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Saints | 36c | 844.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Saints | 11c | 822.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Saints | 10c | 787.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Buccaneers | 72c | 730.56$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…7507backed Saints | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…8faebacked Saints | 12c | 684.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Saints | 40c | 679.18$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Saints | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Saints | 3c | 610$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saints | 22c | 560.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Saints | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Saints | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Saints | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…551ebacked Saints | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Saints | 10c | 471.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Buccaneers | 79c | 442.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Saints | 11c | 420.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Saints | 10c | 413.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Buccaneers | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Buccaneers | 66c | 377.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Saints | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Saints | 27c | 355.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Saints | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Saints | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Saints | 15c | 324.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Saints | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Saints | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…a82dbacked Saints | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Buccaneers | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Buccaneers | 65c | 246.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Saints | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…82f1backed Saints | 38c | 235.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Saints | 6c | 228.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Buccaneers | 65c | 215.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…6f06backed Saints | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Saints | 10c | 205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Saints | 11c | 201.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…4cfcbacked Saints | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Saints | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Saints | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…69c0backed Saints | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Buccaneers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Saints | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Saints | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…3480backed Saints | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Saints | 32c | 156.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Saints | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Saints | 45c | 149.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…9814backed Saints | 11c | 140.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Saints | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…c115backed Saints | 10c | 138.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Saints | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Saints | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Saints | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.