TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Lakers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf520…0637backed Mavericks44c3,379$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9933746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers60c2,042$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.961,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Lakers47c2,022$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.783161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mavericks39c1,860$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.3230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Lakers61c1,747$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.8184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks25c1,712$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.0166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lakers60c1,283$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.8820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers63c1,264$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lakers60c1,075$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7975…f263backed Mavericks38c1,066$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db7…dca2backed Lakers62c1,066$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mavericks39c999.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9925236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Lakers42c862.08$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Lakers62c808.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27c…50b6backed Lakers62c791.94$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks37c715.87$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers57c652.42$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.881,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcad…5078backed Mavericks71c648.61$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.524052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Mavericks41c542.2$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.930619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Lakers59c512.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Lakers60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Mavericks41c490.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.798943.8%39 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Mavericks40c467.5$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.519748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Lakers56c464.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.385054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers6c435$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Lakers61c406.56$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24820153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ef…30f5backed Lakers62c404.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Mavericks38c359.42$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Mavericks43c328.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.182941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c2…faa6backed Mavericks40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Lakers35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mavericks38c299.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9960834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Lakers36c298.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2789353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers56c209.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1b…991ebacked Mavericks41c202$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mavericks39c191.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.585856.9%33 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Lakers56c178.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.716361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Mavericks41c175.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.215735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db2…46c8backed Lakers61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8554…c28dbacked Lakers61c155$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.552272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Mavericks40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…51c6backed Lakers45c133.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Lakers56c127.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1621851.8%113 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Mavericks41c123.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1827546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Lakers42c116.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4956154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks44c114.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.191,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Lakers56c110.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.143834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6646342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Mavericks80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Lakers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5425836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mavericks39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mavericks36c98.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.843321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Lakers62c93.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7120547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Mavericks40c83.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Lakers58c83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed56…f524backed Lakers43c81.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Mavericks40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.431631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Lakers59c78.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4565…df3cbacked Lakers72c73.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Lakers59c72.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5114764.6%95 W · 52 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Mavericks39c72.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.953461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks40c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.162,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Lakers33c65.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.698551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38d…52a2backed Lakers61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mavericks39c64.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.641741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed Mavericks39c62.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed Lakers61c62.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Lakers62c61.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0920349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…344abacked Lakers60c57.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Mavericks40c57.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.779946.5%46 W · 53 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Lakers61c57.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Mavericks36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.566025%15 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked Lakers62c50.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Mavericks40c50.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.252969%20 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked Mavericks36c50.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.143458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…7d49backed Lakers61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Mavericks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Mavericks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f3…c2c2backed Mavericks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Mavericks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Mavericks39c49.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4922939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Lakers57c48.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4411934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Mavericks44c45.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.863342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Lakers60c44.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.616446.3%76 W · 88 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Mavericks46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lakers60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Lakers63c39.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0212657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…f08fbacked Mavericks43c37.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Lakers56c36.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Mavericks40c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf591…d39bbacked Mavericks41c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Lakers61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19a…74bdbacked Mavericks43c32.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b3…183dbacked Mavericks40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Mavericks69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee27…3fa1backed Mavericks41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.