NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a569fc1e90b05c9235dc5065c6fd6c9b0506f3f2f126e03984e6453dba94a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 53c | 62,975$33,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,361.97 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Bucks | 60c | 42,846$25,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,322.68 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 59c | 34,229$20,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,068.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 42c | 28,018$11,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,784.67 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Heat | 37c | 18,726$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.8 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 45c | 17,031$7,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,283.38 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 60c | 15,620$9,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.99 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 38c | 13,917$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.54 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 63c | 12,223$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.23 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 34c | 11,125$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…7ad0backed Heat | 0c | 10,152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 62c | 8,425$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.99 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Heat | 51c | 7,127$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.93 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 35c | 6,620$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.59 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 44c | 3,507$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Heat | 66c | 2,576$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 67c | 2,550$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.71 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Heat | 65c | 2,406$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.21 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bucks | 61c | 2,323$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.71 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…e9e0backed Bucks | 36c | 2,235$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 66c | 1,999$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.17 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Heat | 69c | 1,787$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 63c | 1,754$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.38 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 63c | 1,571$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 33c | 1,477$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 57c | 1,448$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.15 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Bucks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Heat | 37c | 1,222$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 63c | 1,202$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 50c | 1,201$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,196$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.57 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bucks | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.79 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 63c | 1,126$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Bucks | 33c | 1,100$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Heat | 34c | 1,055$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 66c | 1,053$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.02 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…a252backed Heat | 68c | 1,028$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Heat | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Heat | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Bucks | 40c | 996$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.74 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 50c | 910$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…c31cbacked Bucks | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 35c | 800$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Heat | 65c | 799.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks | 63c | 796.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Bucks | 63c | 793.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 787$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Bucks | 51c | 786.21$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Bucks | 65c | 781.85$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 37c | 710$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Bucks | 36c | 697.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.22 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 64c | 696.46$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Bucks | 33c | 655$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.75 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Heat | 65c | 643.36$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…ac5bbacked Heat | 71c | 630.87$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Bucks | 59c | 607.22$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Heat | 69c | 600$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 47c | 599.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks | 65c | 574.84$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Bucks | 65c | 568.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bucks | 66c | 568.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 35c | 568.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bucks | 44c | 539.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 36c | 529$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…14a2backed Heat | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Bucks | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Heat | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 41c | 496.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693dbacked Bucks | 40c | 495.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…91c8backed Bucks | 66c | 480.3$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…77e0backed Heat | 35c | 477.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…1fb3backed Heat | 35c | 470.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 50c | 470.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 64c | 467.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Heat | 53c | 461.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bucks | 44c | 452.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.47 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 34c | 418.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bucks | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Bucks | 63c | 399.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 5c | 399$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 37c | 354$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Bucks | 34c | 350$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Heat | 35c | 345.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Heat | 3c | 336.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…4fb7backed Heat | 59c | 333$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.