TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Dolphins vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Dolphins, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$819,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6a2…6af8backed Dolphins71c152,074$108,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,346.8812570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Browns9c81,108$7,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,546.0420634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Browns0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Browns38c33,515$12,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,673.294755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Browns38c28,856$11,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,038.2160049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Browns37c19,458$7,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.431533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad3e…4422backed Browns35c16,291$5,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.553650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Dolphins77c14,552$11,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.893080%24 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Browns35c11,487$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.0922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Browns0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Browns40c9,858$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.433135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Dolphins60c9,854$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.563767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns34c9,673$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.4944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Browns7c9,000$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6598218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Browns36c7,553$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.4725137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Dolphins73c5,428$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.8924351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Browns40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Dolphins63c4,700$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7288348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Dolphins67c3,597$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.929952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc109…1ad2backed Dolphins62c3,230$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.542931%9 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Browns22c3,178$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.394746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a15…68abbacked Dolphins73c3,116$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Browns35c2,886$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.398921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns2c2,703$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.314311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Dolphins70c2,572$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Browns27c2,448$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.512626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Browns34c2,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Browns38c2,303$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9919543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Dolphins73c2,199$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.632864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e4b…3c54backed Browns24c2,116$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Browns0c2,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Browns27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Browns28c1,964$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns37c1,783$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.8924738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Dolphins65c1,718$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.31915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Dolphins69c1,658$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.194546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Dolphins64c1,616$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.878953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Dolphins65c1,610$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.5620733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Browns37c1,609$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4810624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb31…dc5cbacked Dolphins64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Browns35c1,454$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.271811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Browns36c1,390$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Dolphins66c1,321$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Browns25c1,285$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2821251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7273…5424backed Dolphins62c1,237$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…e123backed Browns34c1,230$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Browns27c1,198$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4328556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dolphins63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0735848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Dolphins64c1,111$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.946947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dolphins64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Dolphins63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3705527.3%15 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dolphins65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Dolphins66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dolphins63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Dolphins63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Dolphins63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Dolphins68c992.19$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Dolphins67c976.53$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5316451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd0…53b4backed Browns38c921.05$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Browns37c894.25$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.673455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Dolphins64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2516275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Browns38c761$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1815722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Browns27c750$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4eb…1028backed Dolphins70c684.13$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.22850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…5624backed Dolphins73c680.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Dolphins61c677.05$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.052466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Browns40c677$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.82572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x041e…aa12backed Dolphins67c659.76$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Browns24c642.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Dolphins63c631.98$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8313260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Browns38c618.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1414837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Browns26c559$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7127339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Browns6c555$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Dolphins63c555$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dolphins69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Dolphins73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13514148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Dolphins62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19012842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Browns31c499.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.996634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dolphins69c480.94$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9410763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d7…8adcbacked Dolphins67c477.61$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.613756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5b…864fbacked Dolphins63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Dolphins64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Dolphins72c443.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.120736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Browns29c442.45$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6423850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Browns37c432$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ec…fdc0backed Dolphins63c431$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Dolphins70c429.79$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Dolphins72c418.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8915252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Dolphins64c411.24$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2418658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Dolphins71c387.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.434178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Browns40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Dolphins62c346.83$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Browns23c340.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.04110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Browns8c323.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…68f9backed Dolphins63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Dolphins64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Dolphins64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x612a…3c9cbacked Dolphins64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Browns26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.