TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Kraken, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken29c14,676$4,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.2436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights71c7,375$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.6516645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights76c5,853$4,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.421,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Kraken24c5,348$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights70c2,608$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Kraken21c2,377$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights72c2,246$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4327958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Kraken29c2,113$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.8524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights70c2,107$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.4266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Golden Knights69c2,033$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.232245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Kraken31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Kraken5c1,882$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.110127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken19c1,733$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0214844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights80c1,731$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights70c1,600$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Golden Knights71c1,276$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.042045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights78c1,203$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken16c1,102$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken29c850.25$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights71c752.11$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights71c608.45$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.231,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffc…193fbacked Golden Knights70c499.21$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken30c482.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Kraken31c440$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.49064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Kraken29c418.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5110627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights70c407.86$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kraken28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0313…fcbdbacked Kraken32c399.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights72c397.88$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.418959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Golden Knights72c344.31$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.414067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57af…f001backed Kraken31c340.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9970…6b92backed Kraken29c321.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights72c308.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.338870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Golden Knights70c286.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.91080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Golden Knights70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa756…48b3backed Golden Knights71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights71c272.41$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Kraken14c254.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Kraken4c249.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.917516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Golden Knights71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights70c221.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Golden Knights79c200.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bad…4f8dbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb7…31e9backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…384ebacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d82…f177backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c5…57a3backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…4c54backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…fd96backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe712…54f7backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53b…3f0bbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…09f0backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ea…1a93backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3a…e758backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9090…77bbbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb4e…f72bbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd898…f294backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…9b9bbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f1…076fbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ce…efc2backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…9d99backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf326…2519backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea25…c429backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75a…4adebacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7750…50abbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…e391backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e7…45e4backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5be6…70f5backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dad…fe28backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1483…0227backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b0…5ddebacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x867c…215ebacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc4…6a2dbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa921…efd8backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69d…aac8backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9519…35e7backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a0a…c179backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c7…9595backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb851…fb3abacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…a029backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815a…fa3abacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4568…cf5bbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ff…6699backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642969%20 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7709…8861backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf92b…7157backed Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67de…a24bbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eaf…1d5cbacked Golden Knights68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b2…0022backed Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645054%27 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448e…d418backed Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…8b02backed Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b2…0d5ebacked Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a70…275ebacked Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a17…afd3backed Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644949%24 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4570…dfacbacked Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645052%26 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddf…66bdbacked Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b9…b696backed Kraken32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.