MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a8369a5fc5fef7145d5b83ad4ad1e681d45a260fdfb96809d75586dde0bc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 105,662$63,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,347.14 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Royals | 40c | 100,012$40,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,004.8 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Royals | 40c | 70,983$28,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,381.28 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 60c | 38,478$23,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,404.1 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dodgers | 60c | 35,600$21,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,296 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers | 50c | 15,000$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.8 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 28c | 14,841$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 49c | 14,030$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.96 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 33c | 10,458$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 47c | 8,347$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.78 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 46c | 6,940$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Royals | 43c | 5,978$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.3 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 52c | 4,840$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.21 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 42c | 4,035$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.07 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers | 71c | 3,841$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.26 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 29c | 3,507$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.35 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Dodgers | 44c | 3,150$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 41c | 3,095$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.95 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 40c | 2,852$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 43c | 2,254$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 41c | 2,247$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 71c | 2,242$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.67 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,566$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.06 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Royals | 40c | 1,316$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 47c | 1,197$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.11 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 42c | 1,189$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,080$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.69 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 25c | 1,005$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 973$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…2a73backed Dodgers | 52c | 953.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Dodgers | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Royals | 55c | 727.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Dodgers | 78c | 707.62$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Dodgers | 60c | 677.84$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Dodgers | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 634.01$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 42c | 595.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Dodgers | 73c | 549.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 52c | 547$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Royals | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 27c | 449.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Dodgers | 60c | 438.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Dodgers | 53c | 400$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 43c | 396.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…edbebacked Dodgers | 68c | 392.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Dodgers | 77c | 377.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Dodgers | 77c | 376.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 368.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Dodgers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 39c | 303$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Royals | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Royals | 31c | 287.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 54c | 257.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Dodgers | 67c | 255.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Dodgers | 72c | 215.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 40c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 40c | 199.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 65c | 199.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Dodgers | 71c | 197.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed Dodgers | 67c | 187.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 169.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Royals | 41c | 169.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 47c | 160.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers | 79c | 139.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 73c | 138.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 27c | 135.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…89f5backed Royals | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Dodgers | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…5c6dbacked Royals | 31c | 128.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…c6a3backed Royals | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Dodgers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 115.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 72c | 108.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 61c | 107.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Royals | 47c | 103.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…8537backed Dodgers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Royals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Dodgers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.