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NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Pelicans, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47bc…c043backed Pelicans28c21,572$5,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,932.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans0c17,452$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d88…1870backed Pelicans35c14,695$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks71c11,623$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.7547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Pelicans1c10,244$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f1…e733backed Pelicans35c8,800$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20e8…b663backed Mavericks65c8,598$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks66c7,454$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.3947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans25c5,831$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Mavericks67c5,565$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.4512663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans34c5,106$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans34c5,101$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.7346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Mavericks75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Pelicans33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Mavericks70c4,931$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49717546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Mavericks66c4,213$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.5217348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Pelicans45c4,117$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.629437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans34c3,815$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.141,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks70c3,631$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.0833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans33c3,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Pelicans35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.857032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans29c2,924$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Mavericks66c2,904$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.915660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Mavericks66c2,900$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Pelicans26c2,834$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.818337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pelicans19c2,400$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45611834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mavericks66c2,392$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.2119149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Pelicans34c2,355$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.6712540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Pelicans34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf816…982dbacked Pelicans35c2,286$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001675%12 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Pelicans35c2,130$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks55c1,804$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.6429652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6c…81c8backed Pelicans29c1,684$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Pelicans45c1,666$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Pelicans34c1,614$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.678521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c1,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557b…3d48backed Mavericks66c1,532$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Mavericks66c1,202$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Pelicans34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c1,175$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Mavericks68c1,153$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9427546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks67c1,040$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.11,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.755502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761a…0e8ebacked Mavericks72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks70c956.39$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Mavericks77c939.35$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3527348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Mavericks79c923.75$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans32c915.66$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Mavericks69c889.84$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.852123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans34c888.03$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans32c867.55$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6223135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…099fbacked Mavericks74c808.47$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans17c800$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f7…f347backed Mavericks66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Mavericks70c730.72$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.376747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans37c699.35$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Pelicans7c683.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e4…cde0backed Pelicans35c669$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks65c638$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans19c597.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mavericks65c588.74$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Pelicans36c562.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Mavericks73c520.75$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.918943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pelicans19c519.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9519231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks66c518.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Mavericks50c504.39$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.222430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334c…3c80backed Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602763%17 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb382…c986backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602584%21 W · 4 L+6.8wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e69…3bb3backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…a4afbacked Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe94…1c4abacked Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d5…1333backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x691b…e221backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.892748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96e…47b7backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d728backed Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf2…f3ddbacked Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x374a…5227backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602777.8%21 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6509…f949backed Pelicans35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd36…3966backed Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602584%21 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x96df…87a3backed Pelicans32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02f2…d9afbacked Mavericks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Mavericks60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef01…34d1backed Mavericks65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks68c499.93$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pelicans33c488.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3519845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks66c457.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5811939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7645135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks54c431.41$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.111,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17aa…cb3dbacked Mavericks47c429.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a6…3680backed Mavericks70c428.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9487backed Pelicans20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1029…56c1backed Mavericks80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73f7…cc19backed Mavericks80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…c58fbacked Pelicans28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…af97backed Pelicans20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42f…420fbacked Pelicans22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…29e0backed Mavericks77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44c…57dfbacked Mavericks80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.