TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Pirates, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$632,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15e0…8d86backed Tigers73c98,955$72,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,236.6611153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pirates53c96,943$50,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,009.0915353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Pirates26c88,769$23,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,499.9316643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers74c61,693$45,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,653.0819452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers48c45,740$22,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,088.262,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers74c28,819$21,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,325.741850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates48c27,792$13,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,496.4497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates55c25,576$14,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,403.9986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Tigers44c19,426$8,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,635.183056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers48c15,081$7,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,295.6568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers74c13,367$9,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,891.71,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates26c12,320$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,116.481,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Tigers47c8,026$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates50c7,253$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.8340629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers74c6,244$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.61,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Tigers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…8d19backed Pirates53c4,670$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.03650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers74c4,492$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.042,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Tigers71c4,429$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.5125550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tigers20c4,165$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.0123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates45c4,043$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers75c4,021$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers48c3,396$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.811,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aac…1b36backed Tigers66c3,244$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.74366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pirates66c3,137$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.181,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Tigers37c3,041$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13125835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Tigers74c2,700$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9987663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers61c2,508$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.1226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates25c2,441$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.4249250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Pirates45c2,245$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.8118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates56c2,243$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.9865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Tigers66c2,138$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.528360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Tigers74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Tigers42c1,915$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers70c1,703$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates26c1,515$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.131346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers48c1,447$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.8651151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pirates28c1,432$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.971,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers2c1,371$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ab…3bb0backed Pirates73c1,366$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Tigers75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers44c1,317$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Pirates27c1,155$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1526355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tigers26c1,152$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Pirates46c1,150$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.114055%22 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…07e0backed Tigers46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pirates26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…5866backed Pirates26c962$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tigers4c850$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers74c811$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4760…0a49backed Tigers44c777$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Pirates53c760.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.383743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers74c748.89$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pirates55c702.61$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.995641.1%23 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Tigers57c694.84$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.92650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers9c682.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.425416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Pirates26c476.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9814050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers47c463.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.821,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6594…e3bcbacked Tigers22c440$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Tigers46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers74c428$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.721,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…3d6fbacked Tigers51c409.8$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20950%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a4c…0cc5backed Tigers15c405.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604231%13 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers68c390$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.894856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates26c384.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.91,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Pirates26c380.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3333852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers37c372$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13817239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers70c364.25$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.351,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Tigers11c351$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.112314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers24c321.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…e790backed Tigers6c313$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fa…8234backed Tigers7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Tigers74c300$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22320954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers73c292.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3455053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Tigers57c290$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.65764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers42c283.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5352542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates25c274.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.645,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Tigers75c267.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates30c233.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.551,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers47c231.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.823444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates26c229.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.891,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Tigers53c223.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9310858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates54c222.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1738949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Tigers30c218.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6525452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Pirates55c217$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.655050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pirates80c212.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.815644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Tigers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tigers58c206.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.936854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pirates27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1463,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Tigers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Tigers75c197.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.