Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ac45c384c631e604a1dd0bb45ccef70708c0ab5a25da597044ee8d5ead3801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 31c | 1,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Yes | 31c | 1,354$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 18c | 1,083$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 70c | 926.57$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 799.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 74c | 667.11$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 30c | 499.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 30c | 465.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 69c | 431.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 357.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 24c | 200.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 70c | 191.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…b260backed Yes | 30c | 188.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 7c | 175.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 69c | 160.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 139.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 48c | 124.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 36c | 110.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…a878backed No | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 104.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 94.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…a18fbacked No | 71c | 76.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…deaebacked No | 71c | 65.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 29c | 56.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed No | 71c | 45.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…25aabacked Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 32c | 36.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…19a4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.