Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb59ea00e225c7ce5d7aaf950fa1af3ebe1485e13b16e1e59510383a70d5ccd97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 73c | 151,000$110,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,770 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…3aa6backed Yes | 27c | 151,000$40,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 28c | 6,606$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 6,254$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.3 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 3,050$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 70c | 2,116$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.79 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…23c2backed Yes | 26c | 1,365$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…85dcbacked No | 74c | 1,345$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 17c | 1,167$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,099$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f6…4ba9backed No | 74c | 1,090$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a39dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,090$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…3477backed Yes | 27c | 1,032$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a2…23e0backed No | 74c | 1,003$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 661.24$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 30c | 659.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…882cbacked No | 73c | 657.45$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 71c | 618.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…b29dbacked Yes | 26c | 565$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 73c | 446.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 29c | 349.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 72c | 299.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…37e5backed Yes | 27c | 250.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…3ac6backed Yes | 31c | 213.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9530backed No | 73c | 207.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 72c | 176.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…b93fbacked Yes | 29c | 160.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…b006backed No | 73c | 158.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed No | 77c | 136$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c809backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 112.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…23dbbacked No | 78c | 100.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 31c | 95.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…6a4ebacked No | 72c | 84.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…8c02backed Yes | 28c | 83.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Yes | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…d31abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…8c31backed No | 72c | 66.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…227dbacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Yes | 27c | 61.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 73c | 51.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7dabacked Yes | 28c | 51.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 48.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…b111backed No | 74c | 35.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed No | 75c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…0c50backed No | 74c | 24.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…2ed6backed No | 73c | 22.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…300bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…e075backed No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…fd64backed No | 73c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…bbefbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?Yes won
- Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.