Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc45b14fbceef98b20a10ea4965d1ba67faca3d9dfa9dc9588845eea862e168a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed No | 58c | 13,390$7,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,766.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f747backed Yes | 42c | 13,390$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 5,412$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.64 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 44c | 5,208$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Yes | 44c | 2,917$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,852$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.11 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 2,612$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.39 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 2,191$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.9 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Yes | 44c | 1,594$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 56c | 1,552$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 44c | 1,349$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.3 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 56c | 1,060$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.35 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 56c | 822$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.32 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 56c | 797.44$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 44c | 677.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 44c | 501.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked No | 55c | 500.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 11c | 427.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…4507backed Yes | 44c | 417.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 346.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 44c | 303.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 299.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 284$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 283.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…b9adbacked Yes | 45c | 224.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 56c | 199.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 196.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 43c | 192.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Yes | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 48c | 184.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 172.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…0151backed Yes | 44c | 153.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 148.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 131.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 43c | 126.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 57c | 123.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 58c | 117.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 57c | 111.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 44c | 104.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes | 44c | 104.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…0987backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Yes | 44c | 98.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Yes | 41c | 93.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 43c | 92.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 44c | 78.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4276backed Yes | 45c | 76.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 58c | 72.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 43c | 65.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 44c | 63.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes | 44c | 61.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…c892backed No | 58c | 60.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…3808backed Yes | 43c | 58.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…b477backed Yes | 42c | 58.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 43c | 58.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 44c | 56.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a5…c538backed Yes | 41c | 55.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…c862backed Yes | 42c | 54.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…e213backed Yes | 42c | 53.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…c9fcbacked No | 58c | 51.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…4cc4backed Yes | 42c | 51.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…ad64backed Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…13e0backed Yes | 43c | 46.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 43c | 46.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…b771backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed No | 59c | 44.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yes | 42c | 44.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…7a90backed Yes | 41c | 42.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…8388backed No | 56c | 42.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…5be5backed Yes | 44c | 42.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…1141backed No | 58c | 41.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.