TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked White Sox41c81,075$33,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,460.8516643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Giants58c37,777$21,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,866.3417351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox40c20,338$8,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,106.981,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Giants59c19,772$11,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,028.774461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Giants61c17,878$10,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,019.455633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox1c12,567$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.671,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ae…e398backed White Sox39c9,995$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36a…88dabacked Giants61c9,995$6,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Giants58c8,834$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.4424553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox34c6,114$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.72,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants65c6,087$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.6169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox42c4,085$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.6738047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Giants58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox41c3,952$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.411,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox19c3,919$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.6654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox42c3,868$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.169,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox36c3,750$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Giants59c3,025$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.7343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Giants49c2,763$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.0113262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Giants56c1,626$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71040547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Giants53c1,507$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.633148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants58c1,500$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed White Sox39c1,488$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3227953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Giants61c1,488$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.3231346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9009…59e0backed Giants59c1,108$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox41c1,033$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.552,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Giants53c869.08$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed White Sox19c804.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15213450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants59c795.21$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.045,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants60c762.07$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.921,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed White Sox42c761.9$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed White Sox6c710$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x142d…dd52backed Giants58c682.21$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Giants59c581.52$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5138249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Giants54c548.48$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.318748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox3c543$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.298762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Giants60c541.66$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants61c500.04$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox24c480.81$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.774,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked White Sox40c437.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed White Sox15c423.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0420343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants60c419.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox39c377$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.031,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Giants57c351.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1223938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants59c343.61$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8846631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Giants59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9818247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed White Sox39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090f…f5aabacked White Sox42c225.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed White Sox47c213.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Giants59c204$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0517354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…f924backed Giants58c199.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.062259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf136…a625backed White Sox41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants80c185$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…35cebacked White Sox41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe597…077cbacked Giants59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4931356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Giants54c162.28$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Giants63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7347348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants70c154.54$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb664…7ec6backed White Sox41c148.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Giants59c142.15$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.287054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…f308backed White Sox41c139.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox42c137.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.681,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Giants53c131.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8234264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…91d6backed Giants59c123.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants58c123.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.441,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Giants59c115.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…eeb9backed Giants59c115.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c04…424bbacked Giants59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Giants72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9612267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117a…0bd6backed Giants59c105.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants58c104$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6851955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Giants59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6922958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bc…cefcbacked Giants59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Giants62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3817244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked White Sox20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ec…6b20backed Giants62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772433.3%8 W · 16 L-6.5wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Giants67c91.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed Giants64c91.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.835642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox32c90.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa837…0d37backed Giants59c89.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…d72fbacked Giants59c88.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.413366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba95…7534backed Giants62c87.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.13056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Giants59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Giants59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x413d…7bbebacked White Sox43c76.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.053756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Giants57c69.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7825452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Giants58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9763052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants43c68.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Giants59c68.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0711058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89a…fe5fbacked Giants61c66.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.083262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Giants59c64.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.313063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed White Sox39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.