TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c5f…5eb7backed Oilers80c137,000$109,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,400250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ea…24cdbacked Ducks20c137,000$27,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Ducks41c1,107$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.621450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks16c1,049$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…7415backed Ducks21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…7b91backed Ducks19c899.27$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers79c850.27$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers80c729.33$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8711145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Oilers80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Ducks20c592.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.584452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks16c570.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.429547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers79c549.98$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72a…582dbacked Oilers80c504.98$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks19c490$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5559…51f5backed Ducks21c487.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks19c359.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.341,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Ducks22c348.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Oilers64c282.17$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.762245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks22c270.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Ducks39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.372448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Oilers80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Ducks41c242.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks13c231.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Oilers78c220.69$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.552347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Oilers71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Ducks20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b2…17e4backed Oilers61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Oilers80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Ducks19c199.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c2…e511backed Ducks13c192.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers77c188.87$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Oilers75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Ducks39c142.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers65c137.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Ducks20c133.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…7be7backed Ducks20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…8b10backed Ducks20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…0288backed Ducks20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059b…199bbacked Ducks20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ducks21c102.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7006backed Ducks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Oilers76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Oilers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Ducks16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e87…a706backed Oilers78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Ducks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2c…b751backed Ducks21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…c737backed Oilers80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…6612backed Oilers80c83.75$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked Oilers80c76.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed Ducks21c76.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ba…6d4bbacked Oilers80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2538…3a39backed Oilers80c73.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…92dfbacked Oilers80c63.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Oilers80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d0…4b11backed Oilers80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Ducks19c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.787660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd47a…8b38backed Ducks19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks20c58.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6324546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3905…eee1backed Oilers80c41.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Oilers80c38.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7639757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90d7…7b2abacked Oilers74c33.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Oilers80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…c619backed Oilers75c30.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13f…beeabacked Oilers79c28.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3b…8c02backed Oilers80c27.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f81…6c15backed Oilers79c27.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe825…58c3backed Oilers77c26.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c84…c8debacked Oilers79c26.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa216…f444backed Oilers76c26.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Oilers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Oilers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Oilers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc47d…ad67backed Oilers79c24.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…fc1ebacked Oilers80c24.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5486…6a0ebacked Oilers77c24.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa022…a078backed Oilers77c23.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7185…9b19backed Oilers79c22.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa064…0187backed Oilers75c21.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a07…f971backed Oilers78c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fba…6980backed Oilers78c20.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b7…acdbbacked Oilers79c20.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c1…004fbacked Oilers77c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef7…fbc0backed Oilers79c18.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36a…a092backed Oilers79c18.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf902…4983backed Oilers79c18.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ece…949fbacked Oilers79c16.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec34…e8c6backed Oilers80c16.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251d…f748backed Oilers79c16.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b03…506dbacked Oilers79c15.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3dc…3c5abacked Oilers77c15.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cd…efa4backed Oilers79c15.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05c…7ca9backed Oilers79c14.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf350…1500backed Oilers78c14.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafdf…ba86backed Oilers79c14.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.