MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x195289865efe6aed744e9b594a4a46fab54956a22e856b5c118c0bb67a635d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Guardians, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Cubs | 56c | 424,213$237,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,653.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Guardians | 44c | 110,555$48,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,644.2 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 44c | 99,909$43,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,960.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 44c | 78,937$34,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,732.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 48c | 52,398$25,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,403.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 44c | 36,758$16,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,031.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 44c | 28,940$12,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.6 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 50c | 15,831$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 44c | 15,739$6,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Guardians | 47c | 13,526$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 56c | 9,444$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Guardians | 47c | 7,647$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 55c | 5,984$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 1c | 5,495$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 56c | 5,326$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.81 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 44c | 4,657$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 43c | 3,680$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 56c | 3,500$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 51c | 3,178$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.45 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Cubs | 79c | 2,631$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,437$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 43c | 2,428$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.24 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Guardians | 52c | 1,910$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 42c | 1,724$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 64c | 1,653$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cubs | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Cubs | 54c | 1,120$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cubs | 55c | 1,119$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.25 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 49c | 1,095$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.39 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Guardians | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.14 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cubs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians | 42c | 894.6$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 59c | 843.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Cubs | 53c | 826.14$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 43c | 762.09$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.7 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3f…55c0backed Cubs | 55c | 751.86$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Guardians | 42c | 664.76$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Cubs | 57c | 587.72$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 79c | 530.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 56c | 512$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 46c | 499.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Guardians | 44c | 466.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 41c | 442.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 61c | 418.28$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Cubs | 47c | 400.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Cubs | 55c | 395.65$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Cubs | 56c | 356.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Guardians | 46c | 327.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 66c | 293.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 58c | 276.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 57c | 268.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 57c | 268.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Cubs | 57c | 253.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cubs | 61c | 245.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 43c | 232.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 60c | 231.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Guardians | 44c | 227.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 57c | 202$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 49c | 190.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Cubs | 55c | 185.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 51c | 178.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Guardians | 50c | 165.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…15c0backed Guardians | 44c | 163.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…057ebacked Guardians | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cubs | 58c | 156.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…4407backed Guardians | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Cubs | 61c | 155.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Guardians | 44c | 153.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…74b1backed Guardians | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Guardians | 44c | 119.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.