NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2680df606b7a140cf493ef78530861a69706758466a1174341897a72ecade18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Heat | 57c | 29,890$17,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,713.8 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 35c | 27,316$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Raptors | 35c | 18,446$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.31 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Raptors | 37c | 18,167$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.58 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 34c | 16,480$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,608.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Heat | 59c | 8,334$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.49 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Heat | 60c | 6,615$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.89 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 60c | 6,467$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Raptors | 43c | 4,609$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.44 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 42c | 3,900$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.93 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Heat | 59c | 3,402$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.3 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Raptors | 43c | 3,219$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 32c | 3,038$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Raptors | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Heat | 58c | 2,803$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Raptors | 36c | 2,656$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 58c | 2,631$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.45 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…59ebbacked Heat | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Heat | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…d4a3backed Raptors | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 5c | 2,469$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 74c | 2,423$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Heat | 57c | 2,396$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.25 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raptors | 79c | 2,229$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.07 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Raptors | 1c | 2,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Heat | 69c | 2,146$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.71 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Raptors | 43c | 2,144$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Heat | 58c | 2,058$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.56 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Heat | 69c | 2,048$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.44 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 57c | 2,025$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.73 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Heat | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 43c | 1,996$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.41 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 25c | 1,935$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.22 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Raptors | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 58c | 1,826$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.77 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Heat | 58c | 1,803$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Raptors | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Heat | 56c | 1,581$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Heat | 62c | 1,467$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.02 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Raptors | 73c | 1,407$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Heat | 57c | 1,366$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Heat | 23c | 1,309$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Heat | 50c | 1,296$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Heat | 57c | 1,290$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Heat | 58c | 1,276$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.88 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Heat | 65c | 1,176$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.76 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d88…1870backed Heat | 54c | 1,100$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heat | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Raptors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed Heat | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 29c | 959.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors | 25c | 932.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 52c | 920.52$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.85 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Raptors | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…099fbacked Heat | 66c | 892$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 12c | 835.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 72c | 829.14$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 36c | 794.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…81c8backed Raptors | 31c | 786.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Heat | 58c | 786.18$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Heat | 58c | 744.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Raptors | 13c | 725.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Raptors | 42c | 725$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 62c | 700.37$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Heat | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…9147backed Raptors | 43c | 694.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…ab6fbacked Heat | 58c | 694.83$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Raptors | 43c | 690.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Heat | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 57c | 650.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 31c | 630$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 59c | 613.77$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 70c | 604.37$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Heat | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 41c | 600.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Raptors | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Heat | 62c | 554.29$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 17c | 550.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 57c | 527.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heat | 58c | 517.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…40d4backed Heat | 77c | 516.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Heat | 58c | 515.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…377abacked Heat | 58c | 500.03$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Raptors | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Raptors | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Raptors | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Heat | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Raptors | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Raptors | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Raptors | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…09b7backed Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Raptors | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.