NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaf27c59aefac8861e840dbc0ed75d278b8e8660a167eb057ebcfea375da350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Maple Leafs, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 137,534$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 55,888$23,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,243.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 50,295$14,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,165.82 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 31,303$14,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,657.82 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 12,779$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks | 30c | 12,590$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.68 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,946$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.2 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 3,935$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.2 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 3,850$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sharks | 30c | 3,251$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.61 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sharks | 30c | 3,003$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 2,756$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.7 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 2,722$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.52 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,308$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sharks | 30c | 2,306$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.2 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 2,176$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.01 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 2,148$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 2,137$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 15c | 1,389$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,289$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,133$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.18 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,103$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.53 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 30c | 1,079$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.16 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks | 30c | 903.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.58 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 900.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 884.96$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sharks | 30c | 834.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.39 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 803.91$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Sharks | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 793.15$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 760.56$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sharks | 79c | 744.49$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 577$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 534.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Sharks | 58c | 495.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 458.44$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.79 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 419.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sharks | 29c | 299.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 280$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 274.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 255.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 28c | 236.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 31c | 205$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 31c | 198.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 73c | 185.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 28c | 175.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…15a8backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 161.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…145bbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 160.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 155$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 145.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…1248backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 145.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…09e7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 145.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a27…f384backed Sharks | 75c | 142.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Sharks | 49c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…19a6backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 132.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Sharks | 74c | 131.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…59c8backed Sharks | 31c | 129.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…5263backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 118.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Sharks | 47c | 114.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…2880backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 114.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…bf8cbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 110.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Sharks | 30c | 107.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Sharks | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…da41backed Sharks | 31c | 99.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a617backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 95.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…f84ebacked Sharks | 31c | 93.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…9b38backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 89.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…29b8backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 83.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…92b4backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 81.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 81.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…620dbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 79.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…448ebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 79.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 74.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Sharks | 31c | 71.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…69f1backed Sharks | 31c | 71.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 70.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed Sharks | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…f3babacked Sharks | 31c | 69.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.