NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820c815268350ef3bc9b77f0817d66cb1f315e69d74471ae715330f8d2e55791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,518,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,343,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,518,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 21c | 210,670$44,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,503.05 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 78c | 206,635$161,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,175.59 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 21c | 180,567$37,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,489.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 52c | 119,813$62,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,959.43 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 19c | 88,888$16,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,999.26 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 20c | 80,190$15,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,339.23 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 79c | 59,717$47,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,117.43 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 80c | 53,522$42,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,732.37 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Thunder | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,500 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 79c | 47,617$37,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,717.81 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 80c | 45,137$35,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,962.6 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 5c | 42,848$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,863.25 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 80c | 36,264$29,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,011.37 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pacers | 13c | 33,699$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,349.96 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 20c | 30,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 79c | 28,750$22,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,749.95 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 79c | 25,276$19,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,967.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Pacers | 22c | 21,832$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,029.07 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers | 21c | 21,681$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,127.95 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 20c | 20,500$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,354.95 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Pacers | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers | 19c | 19,243$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,587.88 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pacers | 14c | 18,294$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,643.37 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 79c | 18,055$14,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,207.77 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pacers | 12c | 17,748$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,563.87 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…4c14backed Thunder | 2c | 17,681$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pacers | 14c | 17,645$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,138.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Pacers | 21c | 17,084$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,496.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Thunder | 80c | 16,038$12,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,830.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Pacers | 21c | 15,657$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,369.14 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 68c | 14,963$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 18c | 14,708$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,093.67 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 16c | 14,660$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,329.24 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 80c | 14,539$11,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.13 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…7ca4backed Pacers | 20c | 14,523$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,618.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Pacers | 40c | 13,225$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.6 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Pacers | 19c | 13,103$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,563.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 9c | 12,487$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,387.3 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers | 11c | 12,418$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,089 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 18c | 12,250$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,017.5 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 80c | 11,528$9,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Pacers | 21c | 10,937$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 16c | 10,894$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Pacers | 9c | 10,830$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,829.54 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pacers | 61c | 10,567$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 79c | 10,479$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,278.35 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pacers | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked Pacers | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Pacers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.98 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…a3f3backed Thunder | 1c | 9,726$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pacers | 34c | 9,150$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Thunder | 42c | 8,398$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.71 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 65c | 8,040$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.11 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Pacers | 22c | 8,000$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 21c | 7,144$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.75 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed Pacers | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Pacers | 10c | 7,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 79c | 6,894$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.16 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 13c | 6,767$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.64 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…8b3ebacked Pacers | 15c | 6,468$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +228.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…cb6fbacked Pacers | 21c | 6,381$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1e7bbacked Thunder | 80c | 6,370$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…d023backed Thunder | 79c | 6,335$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 22c | 6,064$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.8 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pacers | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Thunder | 79c | 5,805$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.75 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 80c | 5,555$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 3c | 5,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.67 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 79c | 5,440$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 79c | 5,400$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.98 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…4772backed Thunder | 79c | 5,346$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 79c | 5,023$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.63 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers | 21c | 4,907$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.42 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Thunder | 79c | 4,900$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Pacers | 16c | 4,689$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.04 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Thunder | 79c | 4,589$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Thunder | 1c | 4,577$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Thunder | 79c | 4,315$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.86 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Pacers | 16c | 4,229$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Pacers | 14c | 4,083$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Pacers | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 13c | 3,811$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.77 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pacers | 23c | 3,686$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.1 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Pacers | 15c | 3,659$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.11 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Thunder | 78c | 3,543$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.66 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 15c | 3,400$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pacers | 4c | 3,073$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.16 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pacers | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…6d3ebacked Thunder | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Thunder | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunderthis page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.