NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3c4b6bead9e194b5ab1baa872305563b54ecfff0599fe9c156675656ab71db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 48c | 30,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,720 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 49c | 30,000$14,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,194.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Thunder | 53c | 23,490$12,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,449.7 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 52c | 20,844$10,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,838.99 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Thunder | 62c | 16,938$10,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,501.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 52c | 15,951$8,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,308.16 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 51c | 14,476$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 49c | 14,292$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.17 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Pacers | 38c | 11,900$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,377.83 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 46c | 10,415$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.99 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 44c | 10,000$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.5 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 55c | 10,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.9 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Thunder | 51c | 7,374$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Thunder | 51c | 4,032$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.47 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pacers | 49c | 3,645$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 54c | 3,480$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.22 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pacers | 47c | 3,000$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…4341backed Thunder | 51c | 2,650$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers | 45c | 2,422$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.1 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Thunder | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,851$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.06 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Thunder | 33c | 1,700$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,563$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.31 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 56c | 1,172$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Pacers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pacers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pacers | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.52 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Pacers | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 52c | 928$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Pacers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Pacers | 47c | 700$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Thunder | 52c | 503.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pacers | 49c | 502.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Pacers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Thunder | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Thunder | 54c | 340.92$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Thunder | 50c | 335$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Pacers | 48c | 327$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Pacers | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…b588backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Pacers | 66c | 285$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Thunder | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…787bbacked Pacers | 50c | 233.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pacers | 50c | 210.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Pacers | 47c | 207.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Pacers | 49c | 202.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Thunder | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 61c | 187.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Thunder | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pacers | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Pacers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Thunder | 39c | 162.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Thunder | 51c | 159$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Pacers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…c8dabacked Thunder | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pacers | 45c | 148$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Pacers | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5761backed Thunder | 66c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…7ababacked Thunder | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Pacers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thunder | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…0ec5backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Thunder | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Pacers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…4c14backed Thunder | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Thunder | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Thunder | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Pacers | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Thunder | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Thunder | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers | 49c | 57.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Thunder | 67c | 52.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Thunder | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Pacers | 47c | 42.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pacers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…d7eabacked Pacers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…4fccbacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Pacers | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked Pacers | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…293fbacked Thunder | 60c | 39.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. ThunderPacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.